Portfolio · 57 prediction heads
Portfolio Atlas

One engine. Fifty-seven predictions. One counterfactual panel on every one.

The whole drug-development lifecycle is one prediction surface. Talaria designs it as fifty-seven output-adapter heads over a single shared substrate — each head a calibrated read on a different decision, from target validation to patent challenge. This atlas lays the surface out by lifecycle stage and marks, honestly, what ships today and what is still on the bench.

Pre-deployment · not for clinical use
1
Shipped today — head #11, subgroup-conditional Phase 2–3, with its counterfactual panel
12
In the Pareto build queue — ranked r1 through r13 by risk-adjusted value
44
Rostered — designed and named, awaiting their turn on the queue

1 shipped · 12 in the Pareto build queue · the rest rostered.

The map

Fifty-seven heads, laid out by lifecycle stage

Filter by status or stage, and toggle the impact / moat / white-space tiers. Focus or hover any head to inspect it. Head #49 is an international-regulator bundle — one chip that opens to four sub-heads.

Status
Impact / moat / white-space

Why one panel on every head

The moat is the panel, not the number

A probability you cannot act on is a number. Every Talaria head ships a counterfactual panel — the design levers that move the result — carried as a contract, not a courtesy. Behind it sits an audit ledger on every prediction, an adversarial Judge, CATE for heterogeneous subgroup effects, and a label-scarcity-first design that treats scarce honest outcomes as the binding constraint. That stack is the same for all fifty-seven heads.

Counterfactual panel Lock 6 Audit ledger Lock 11 Adversarial Judge CATE · subgroup effects Label-scarcity-first

One substrate. Seven base learners. Fifty-seven heads.

The architecture note that makes the surface tractable: one shared substrate, 57 output-adapter heads, 7 base learners (Lock 8 is at cap, 7/7). A new prediction is a calibrated head plus a counterfactual panel — not a new model. New capacity goes above the base learners, never as an eighth learner.